Honest Mistakes, 20/20 Hindsight, No Surprises, Real Innovation and Double Dip ‘Psycho-Semantics’

Haven’t been permeating self promotion through the typical social mediums very much lately, but I have been sporadically writing/blogging/’content creating’ over at HousingWatch.  So, for the 4 people who’ve asked me if I still type my opinions into a keyboard…

John Paulson was an interesting figure in the whole SEC vs Goldman Sachs stink-eye contest, which ultimately ended up with Goldman getting slapped on the wrist with a fine and restitution to damaged investors for ‘making a mistake‘.  Looks like J-Paul managed to stay out of range of any collateral damage and made billions by helping build the elegant piece of financial engineering that enabled Goldman to make their ‘mistake’…directly contributing to the housing bubble and subsequent *pop*.

Former Treasury secretary and Goldman Sachs exec Henry ‘Hank’ Paulson (of no relation to John) donned his 20/20 hindsight glasses for the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission.  Too bad he didn’t practice what he preached while he was in the middle of it all…

Ben Bernanke the Federal Reserve Chairman warned about warning of pending warnings as to what the Feds future economic policy changes may look like.  This ‘no surprises’ strategy is intended not to spook investors and/or cause knee jerk reactions.  Unfortunately well prepped domestic policy changes wont do much to reduce the anxiety of investors as global headline news continues to cause such spooky, knee-jerk reactions…but thanks for the warning ahead of the warnings about your read and react strategy Ben.

More in line with the real estate (and mortgage) markets proper, I started a series about how some real innovation was required in the aspects of business and cost modeling for the industry’s to change in meaningful ways.  New sexy search UI’s and social media are fun and all but they do little to address the core problems at hand.  Beauty is only skin deep and the insides of these industries are nothing short of fugly.

Politics tend to get in the way of meaningful change when it comes to the real estate industry, evidenced by the strong aversion from real estate professionals to offering consumers a peek into their professional track records or ‘report card‘.  The Houston Association of Realtors (HAR) launched an Agent match product that was by most accounts very benign in regards to the information being displayed for public consumption.  Nonetheless they had to take the product down within 48 hours of its official launch because inmates run the asylum in real estate-land.  Thats sad.  I applaud Bob Hale of HAR for having the guts to push for this type of initiative and believe he is 100% correct when stating: ‘It will happen outside of the industry, and everybody will be mad’.

Another Captain Obvious moment- Alan Greenspan.  The former Fed Chairman really stepped out on a limb recently by prognosticating that another dip in home prices could cause a double-dip in the overall economy.  Never mind that no one can agree on what really constitues a double dip recession, outside of the notion that the economy shrinks, then grows, then shrinks again, then…doesn’t the economy do this all the time?  Double dip, W-shaped, recession, depression, correction…all economic semantics for:  Our economy is going nowhere fast with long term issues like high unemployment, shadow inventory and mortgage underwriting standards so tight you couldn’t pull a pin out of a lenders ass with a John Deere tractor…

——————————————–

All real estate, economics and the unimportant aspects of life aside-

A dear friend, peer and overall great human being passed away last evening.  Joe Ferrara may have lost his battle with cancer but he won the hearts and minds of countless people through his unselfish nature and consistent nurture.  While I mourn your death, I celebrate your life.  Rest in peace Joe

  • Jeff - Love your blog. Would like to add you to my Google Reader but your feedburner link appears to be a dead link? Or is it me? :)
blog comments powered by Disqus
Flag Posts
Mortgage 2.X

3 Questions to Ask Any Mortgage Professional

Digital Rolodex and Database Marketing

'Pointed' The Wrong Way

Fixed Fees for a Broken Business

How To Speculate on The Future of Mortgage Rates

Short Selling The Market

Pre-Payment Penalty Ponderings

Swindlers List

Mortgage Rate Pricing, The Disturbing Truth

Effect Of Transparency on The Mortgage and Real Estate Industries

Yield Spread Premiums. Definition, Disclosure and Depth

Yield Spread Premiums. Capital Hill Testimony

Crooked Mortgage Broker Tells All

Consumer Beware of Mortgage Salesmanship

The Traditional Real Estate Commission Model. A Critical Assessment

Critical Assessment of The Traditional Real Estate Commission Model II

Mortgage Pin Nears Housing Bubble

Its Not Just Sub-Prime...

The Need for Transparent Mortgage Rate Search

APR. The Annual Percentage Runaround

Traditional Real Estate Commission Structure, The $30,000,000,000 Problem.

Darwidgetry

How To Run A Mortgage Business Going Forward

The Ubiquitous, Perpetual Mortgage Solution Circle Jerk

How To Use The Proper Corporation To Minimize Your Tax Liability As a Real Estate Professional

Backslapping Mortgage Bailout, Fannie and Freddie Get a $200B Blank Check

The Economic Realities of Transparency for The Mortgage Brood

5 Tips For The Brave Soul Considering Real Estate Sales As a Career

What’s My Mortgage Rate And How Much Is It Going To Cost Me?

Risk Based Pricing. How Mortgage Rates are Determined

Risk Based Pricing. How Mortgage Rates are Determined- Property Type and Property Use

Risk Based Pricing How Mortgage Rates are Determined- Credit Scores and History

Risk Based Pricing How Mortgage Rates are Determined- Loan Amount and Loan to Value

Mortgage Industry Shock and Awe

Political Fear and Loathing on Wall Street

Pending Death and Future Living. Transparency, Technology, Social Media, Business Strategy, With Some Economics Sprinkled On Top

Contrived Attrition? Washingtons Play in The Fall and Rise of Wall Street

Survey Says...Realtors Suck!

Defining a Brand Through Business Strategyt

Drug Cartels, Cancerous Growth and The F*cked Mortgage Industry